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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0300Z WED SEP 25 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  67.5W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 130SE   0SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  67.5W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  66.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.4N  69.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.7N  71.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.2N  73.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  67.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.7N  73.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.4N  75.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/MOLLEDA
 
 
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