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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1500Z MON SEP 23 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES
FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO THE GRENADINES INCLUDING BARBADOS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  59.5W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  59.5W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  58.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.6N  62.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.3N  64.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.3N  67.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  59.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 16.2N  69.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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