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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  81
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1202
2100Z THU OCT 10 2002
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS SHIFTED NORTHWARD.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  80.1W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  80.1W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  79.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.4N  81.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 32.3N  80.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 34.0N  79.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N  80.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 35.3N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 37.5N  72.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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