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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1102
2100Z TUE SEP 17 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  52.7W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1015 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  52.7W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  52.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 35.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 37.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N  52.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 42.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 47.0N  32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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