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HURRICANE ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
0900Z MON SEP 23 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO CAMPECHE.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  89.8W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 210 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 175SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  89.8W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  89.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.3N  90.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.2N  91.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE 175SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.2N  92.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE 175SW 175NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  89.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 23.1N  92.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 26.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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