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HURRICANE ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
0300Z MON SEP 23 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CARIBBEAN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CAMPECHE NORTH AND
EASTWARD TO TULUM...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  89.5W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  89.5W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  89.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.7N  90.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N  91.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.8N  92.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 180NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  89.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 22.8N  92.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 25.0N  93.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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