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HURRICANE ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
2100Z SUN SEP 22 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CARIBBEAN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CAMPECHE NORTH AND
EASTWARD TO TULUM...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  89.2W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  934 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 130SE 100SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 150SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  89.2W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  89.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.4N  90.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 130SE 100SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.4N  91.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 130SE 100SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N  92.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 140SW 200NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  89.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.3N  92.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 170SE 170SW 200NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 25.0N  93.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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