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HURRICANE ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
1500Z SUN SEP 22 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CARIBBEAN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CAMPECHE NORTH AND
EASTWARD TO TULUM...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR CUBA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  88.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  934 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 175SE 100SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  88.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  88.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.6N  89.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.3N  90.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.3N  91.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 150SW 175NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N  88.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N  92.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 175SW 175NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 22.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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