ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1002
1500Z SAT SEP 21 2002
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO PROGRESSO...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 86.1W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 35SE 35SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 75SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 275SE 100SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 86.1W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 85.8W
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.9N 86.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 35SE 35SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.9N 88.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 35SE 35SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.9N 89.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 35SE 35SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 86.1W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.0N 90.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 92.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
Webmaster
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}