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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
1500Z WED SEP 18 2002
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA AND
CIENFUEGOS WESTWARD...AND INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  78.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  78.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  78.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.7N  79.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.9N  80.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.1N  82.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  78.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 22.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 23.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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