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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1002
1500Z WED SEP 18 2002
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA AND
CIENFUEGOS WESTWARD...AND INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 78.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 78.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 78.5W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.7N 79.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.9N 80.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.1N 82.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 78.7W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 22.5N 83.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 23.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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Webmaster
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