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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
2100Z TUE SEP 17 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  77.6W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  77.6W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  77.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.7N  78.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.6N  80.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.7N  81.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  77.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 20.0N  83.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 23.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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