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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
0900Z SUN SEP 15 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  65.1W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  65.1W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  64.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.8N  67.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.4N  71.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.2N  74.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N  65.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 16.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 19.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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