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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
2100Z SAT SEP 14 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N  61.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N  61.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  60.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 10.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 12.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N  61.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 15.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 18.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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