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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0902
1500Z THU SEP 12 2002
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FROM THE
SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO JUST EAST OF PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER
TODAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  86.7W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  86.7W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  86.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.0N  86.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.0N  86.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  86.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 32.5N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 35.5N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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