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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0802
0900Z WED SEP 11 2002
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR
NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA.  HEAVY SURF AND DANGEROUS RIPTIDE
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  72.0W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 225SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 180SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  72.0W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  72.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 39.7N  67.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 360SE 300SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 44.5N  61.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 480SE 480SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 49.3N  56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 540SE 540SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N  72.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 52.5N  52.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...420NE 540SE 540SW 300NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 57.5N  52.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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