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TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0602
1500Z FRI SEP 06 2002
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT
OCONNOR TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  95.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......125NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  95.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  94.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.3N  95.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.7N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.3N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  95.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 29.7N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 30.0N  99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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