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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0502
0900Z WED SEP 04 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TITUSVILLE TO
FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.  EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE LANDFALL...AND THUS WARNINGS ARE NOT
BEING ISSUED AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...IF THIS DOES NOT HAPPEN
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE WATCH
AREA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  79.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  79.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  79.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.1N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.9N  82.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  79.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.8N  83.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 28.8N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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