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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0402
1500Z MON SEP 02 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  53.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  53.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  53.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.0N  53.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.0N  53.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.0N  53.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  53.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 25.9N  53.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 29.0N  53.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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