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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0402
1500Z SUN SEP 01 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  50.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  50.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  49.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.2N  52.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N  54.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.3N  54.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  50.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 20.7N  55.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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