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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0402
2100Z SAT AUG 31 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  45.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  45.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  44.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.0N  48.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  45.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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