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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0202
1500Z THU AUG 08 2002
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...PRIMARILY ALONG
THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS COAST...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  95.7W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  95.7W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  95.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 27.5N  97.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 27.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.0N 100.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N  95.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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