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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0202
0900Z THU AUG 08 2002
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...PRIMARILY ALONG
THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS COAST...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  94.8W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  94.8W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  94.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 27.7N  95.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 27.4N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 27.5N  99.3W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N  94.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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