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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0202
0300Z MON AUG 05 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COASTS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST AND
SOUTH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE
AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  89.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  89.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  89.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 30.1N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  15SW  15NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.6N  91.9W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 31.1N  93.6W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  89.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z...INLAND AND DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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