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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0102
0300Z TUE JUL 16 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  63.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 200SE 175SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  63.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 40.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 43.0N  58.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 45.0N  57.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N  63.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 46.0N  57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
  
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