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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SAT JUL 27 2002
 
NOTHING HAS CHANGED EXCEPT THAT ELIDA IS WEAKER WITH ESTIMATED WINDS 
OF 55 KNOTS. THIS IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. 

ELIDA CONTINUES A VIGOROUS SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW PATCHES OF 
DEEP CONVECTION.  IT IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS 
AND SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST AS INDICATED IN 
PREVIOUS TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSIONS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD 
DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. 

FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     27/2100Z 18.1N 122.1W    55 KTS
12HR VT     28/0600Z 19.1N 123.5W    45 KTS
24HR VT     28/1800Z 20.5N 125.0W    35 KTS
36HR VT     29/0600Z 22.0N 126.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     29/1800Z 24.0N 127.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     30/1800Z 28.5N 128.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
 
 
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