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TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT FRI JUL 26 2002
 
DOUGLAS BARELY QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  THERE HAS NOT BEEN  
ANY DEEP CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 18 HOURS...AND AN ANALYSIS OF RECENT 
QUIKSCAT AMBIGUITY VECTORS SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS ONLY A VERY 
SMALL CLOSED CIRCULATION.  HOWEVER...SINCE THE QUIKSCAT ALSO 
SUGGESTS THAT THE WINDS ARE STILL ABOUT 30 KT...I WILL HANG ON TO 
DOUGLAS FOR ANOTHER ADVISORY.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/19.  DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON 
ROUGHLY THIS TRACK UNTIL THE CIRCULATION OPENS UP TO A WAVE...WHICH 
MAY WELL OCCUR EARLIER THAN INDICATED BELOW.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     26/0900Z 21.3N 134.3W    30 KTS
12HR VT     26/1800Z 21.5N 137.2W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     27/0600Z 21.5N 140.6W    25 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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