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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT FRI JUN 28 2002
 
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME 
WELL-REMOVED FROM THE CONVECTION AND IS NOW A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW 
CLOUDS.  THIS HAS MADE THE CENTER EASIER TO LOCATE.  AN UPPER-TROUGH 
REACHED THE AREA AND IS PRODUCING A STRONG SHEARING ENVIRONMENT. IN 
FACT...THIS WAS SUGGESTED BY THE GLOBAL MODELS AS WELL AS SHIPS. WE 
ARE KEEPING A 25-KNOT DEPRESSION BUT THE WEAKENING PROCESS SHOULD 
CONTINUE AND THE DEPRESSION MAY BE JUST A REMNANT LOW BY DAYLIGHT 
SATURDAY.

THE SWIRL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST ABOUT 13 KNOTS OR FASTER AND
SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK...STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW UNTIL DISSIPATION.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     29/0300Z 12.7N 132.0W    25 KTS
12HR VT     29/1200Z 12.8N 133.7W    25 KTS
24HR VT     30/0000Z 13.0N 136.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     30/1200Z 13.0N 137.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     01/0000Z 13.0N 139.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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