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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LILI DISCUSSION NUMBER  52
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI OCT 04 2002
 
TRACKING THE CENTER WITH SURFACE OBS...RADAR...AND SATELLITE...GIVES
AN INITIAL MOTION OF 030/18.  THE SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN FLOW AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES AND IS
FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WHILE
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND MERGING WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
 
SURFACE REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 994 MB
AND SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS.  LILI IS
DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY FROM
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  FUTURE INFORMATION WILL BE CONTAINED
IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     04/0900Z 34.3N  90.9W    30 KTS
12HR VT     04/1800Z 38.2N  87.1W    30 KTS
24HR VT     05/0600Z 43.4N  78.8W    25 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     05/1800Z 48.0N  67.5W    25 KTS...MERGED WITH ANOTHER    
                                              EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
 
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