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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 05 2002
 
EDOUARD IS GENERATING SOME INTERMITTENT DEEP CONVECTION IN ITS
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT...ENOUGH TO KEEP IT A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  THE
INITIAL MOTION IS 260/7.  EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE WEST
AND THEN WEST-NORTHWEST WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE
DISTURBANCE IN THE WESTERN GULF UNITL IT DISSIPATES.  SHEAR IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG OVER THE SYSTEM AND NO SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

FORECAST POSITIONS ARE GIVEN BELOW TO 72 HOURS...BUT THE SYSTEM IS
LIKELY TO BECOME A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE BEFORE
THEN.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     05/2100Z 28.7N  83.8W    20 KTS
12HR VT     06/0600Z 28.5N  85.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     06/1800Z 28.7N  86.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     07/0600Z 29.0N  88.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     07/1800Z 30.0N  89.5W    20 KTS...INLAND REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     08/1800Z 32.5N  91.5W    15 KTS...INLAND REMNANT LOW
 
 
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