HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU AUG 08 2002

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE CENTER IS RAPIDLY 
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AS THE CIRCULATION BECOMES INVOLVED WITH A 
FRONTAL ZONE AND THE PRESSURE ROSE TO 1008 MB. THIS ALSO SUPPORTED 
BY MICROWAVE DATA WHICH SHOW LINEAR INSTEAD OF CIRCULAR CONVECTION. 
HOWEVER...THERE STILL BANDS OF STRONG FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS TO THE EAST 
OF THE WEAKENING CENTER. 

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED 
TO INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS IT BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OR ABSORBED 
THE FRONT.  THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. FURTHER 
INFORMATION WILL BE INCLUDED IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY 
THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER AT WASHINGTON DC. 

FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     08/2100Z 31.5N  71.0W    40 KTS
12HR VT     09/0600Z 33.0N  68.5W    40 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     09/1800Z 36.0N  65.0W    40 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     10/0600Z 40.0N  63.0W    40 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL

 
NNNN