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TROPICAL STORM LORENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM PDT WED OCT 03 2001

...CONDITIONS LIKELY TO DETERIORATE ALONG SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO 
LATER TODAY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO
MAZATLAN.  HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA LATER TODAY.
 
AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT
225 MILES...365 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
LORENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND 
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN SPREADING ONSHORE WITHIN AND EAST OF THE 
WARNING AREA TODAY.  THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH 
FLOODS AND MUDS LIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL
LIKELY BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...16.5 N...106.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
8 AM PDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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