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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT SUN SEP 30 2001

...JULIETTE RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO...
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST...OR INLAND ABOUT 25 MILES NORTH OF TIBURON
ISLAND MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
ON THIS TRACK...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL
REMAIN OVER LAND NEAR THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED 
TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
ALTHOUGH THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH JULIETTE ARE RAPIDLY 
WEAKENING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR 
SO. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL...UP TO 2 TO 4 INCHES OR 50 TO 100 
MM...IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO AND 
NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.  THERE CONTINUES TO BE A THREAT OF FLASH 
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES NEAR MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  

RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH JULIETTE SHOULD GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER 
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTHWESTERN STATES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST 
OFFICES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...29.9 N...112.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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