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HURRICANE JULIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT MON SEP 24 2001

...JULIETTE WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN MEXICAN COAST AND SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JULIETTE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIETTE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 265
MILES...425 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

JULIETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH ...  7 KM/HR...  THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE FURTHER DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED A MINIMUM 
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF  957 MB...28.26 INCHES...AS IT LEFT THE 
HURRICANE TO RETURN HOME.

BANDS OF HEAVY SQUALLS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN 
COAST OF MEXICO.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY OVER 
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AND LIFE
THREATENING MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...15.3 N...104.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  957 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM
PDT.

FORECASTER JARVINEN/MAINELLI
 
 
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