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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT SAT SEP 22 2001

...JULIETTE CONTINUES TO PARALLEL THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST
OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 
JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.4 WEST 
OR ABOUT 195 MILES...315 KM...SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
 
JULIETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND 
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...
WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF 
JULIETTE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE.  HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AT ANY 
TIME.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND 
JULIETTE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...100 TO 200 
MILLIMETERS...AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE 
POSSIBLE AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD 
SLIDES. 
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...13.6 N... 98.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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