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TROPICAL STORM DALILA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT SAT JUL 21 2001
 
...DALILA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE... 
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM
WEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
EAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.7 WEST OR ABOUT 215
MILES...345 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.

DALILA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR... 
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON 
THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF DALILA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE BUT A 
SMALL DEVIATION TO THE NORTH COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE 
COAST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DALILA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY SPREAD INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA 
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BRINGING A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD 
SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...13.8 N... 98.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM
PDT...SUNDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
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