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HURRICANE MICHELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM EST MON NOV 05 2001

...MICHELLE WEAKENING WHILE APPROACHING THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
AND BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM FLORIDA...

AT 7 AM EST...1200Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN 
DISCONTINUED FOR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM 
CRAIG KEY WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.

AT 7 AM EST...1200Z...THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR CUBA HAVE 
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF....AND ALSO
FOR THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY EASTWARD...INCLUDING 
FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...
CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET.
 
AT 7 AM EST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.1 WEST OR 
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTHWEST OF NASSAU IN THE NORTHWESTERN 
BAHAMAS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI.
 
MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR... 
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS 
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE 
BAHAMAS LATER TODAY...REACHING ANDROS ISLAND IN A FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...RAIN BANDS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA THIS MORNING.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 MPH WITH 
GUSTS TO 45 MPH..ARE CURRENTLY BEING REPORTED AT MIAMI BEACH.
TWO BUOYS NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST HAVE REPORTED TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS TO 54 MPH.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 195 MILES...315 KM...MAINLY OVER WATER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF MICHELLE.  ADDITIONAL
...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER RAINFALL
TOTALS...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS MORNING
AS HEAVY SQUALLS CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...ALONG WITH BATTERING 
WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FLORIDA IN THE 
WARNING AREA TODAY.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG 
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS LIKELY OVER THE BAHAMAS ISLANDS NEAR 
AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM EST POSITION...24.2 N... 78.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...80 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 10 AM EST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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