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HURRICANE MICHELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 AM EST MON NOV 05 2001

...MICHELLE MOVING OFF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA...NOW HEADING 
TOWARD THE BAHAMAS...

AT 1 AM EST...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST 
OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 1 AM EST...0600Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA 
KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING 
FLORIDA BAY HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF....AND ALSO FOR 
ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY 
TORTUGAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA...
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE 
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...  BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...CAT
ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
AT 1 AM EST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
OVER NORTH CENTRAL CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 80.3
WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES...300 KM...SOUTH OF MIAMI OR 225 MILES...360
KM...SOUTHWEST OF NASSAU.

MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR... 
AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS ALONG THE NORTH 
CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA AND WILL EMERGE OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS 
SHORTLY. MICHELLE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE BAHAMAS LATER 
TODAY...POSSIBLY REACHING ANDROS ISLAND BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...170 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.  RAIN BANDS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHEAST 
COAST OF FLORIDA THIS MORNING. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS... 
MIAMI BEACH HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 
MPH.  WINDS GUSTS TO 40 MPH HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED AT MARATHON.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  965 MB...28.50 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 
HIGHER...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF MICHELLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 
1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH 
FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF
CUBA TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER.

A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...ALONG WITH BATTERING 
WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FLORIDA 
IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG 
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS LIKELY OVER THE BAHAMAS ISLANDS NEAR 
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 1 AM EST POSITION...23.1 N... 80.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 4 AM EST. 
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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