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HURRICANE MICHELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM EST SAT NOV 03 2001

...DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 MICHELLE MEANDERING WHILE CONTINUING
TO STRENGTHEN...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE 
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA INCLUDING 
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR 
THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF GRAND CAYMAN.
 
ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA
SHOULD CONTINUE CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE.  WATCHES
AND WARNING MAY BE UPGRADED AND EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
 
AT 7 AM EST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205 
MILES...330 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
THE EYE OF MICHELLE HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY.  THIS
MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF MICHELLE NEAR WESTERN CUBA LATE
SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 130 MPH...210
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THIS MAKES MICHELLE A STRONG CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND MICHELLE
COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTER IS  937 MB...27.67 INCHES.

OUTER RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA AND THE 
CAYMAN ISLANDS.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10-20 INCHES...WITH 
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF MICHELLE.

REPEATING THE 7 AM EST POSITION...19.0 N... 84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...130 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 937 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 AM EST.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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