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HURRICANE MICHELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM EST FRI NOV 02 2001

...MICHELLE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE...ALREADY HAS 100 MPH WINDS... 
...HEADING FOR CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF PINAR 
DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF GRAND CAYMAN.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE 
REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA ON SATURDAY.
 
AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 240
MILES...385 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR. THIS 
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MICHELLE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR 
HURRICANE TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
LATEST REPORT FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATES THAT THE 
MINIMUM PRESSURE HAS DROPPED TO 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
 
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA THIS 
AFTERNOON.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10-20 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED 
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF MICHELLE.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM EST POSITION...18.5 N... 84.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 100 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 957 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM EST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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