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TROPICAL STORM MICHELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM EST THU NOV 01 2001
 
...MICHELLE DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE 
FOLLOWING PROVINCES IN WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA... 
HAVANA CITY...MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. 
 
ALL INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE.
 
AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SWAN ISLAND. THIS IS ALSO 
ABOUT 330 MILES...535 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF 
CUBA.

MICHELLE IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR.
A SLOW NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LATEST SATELLITE INFORMATION SUGGESTS THAT MICHELLE MAY BE
GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AND MICHELLE MAY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR
TOMORROW.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL
INVESTIGATE THE STORM AGAIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
INTERMITTENT BUT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM OUTER BANDS WILL OCCUR
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM EST POSITION...17.2 N... 83.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 10 PM EST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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