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HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST TUE NOV 06 2001

...MICHELLE GRADUALLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...EXPECTED TO
PASS SOUTH OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.7 WEST OR ABOUT 
552 MILES...890 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
 
MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH
...33 KM/HR...AND THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION...WITH SOME INCREASE IN 
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
EARLIER REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT 
INDICATE THAT MICHELLE HAS NOT WEAKENED.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HOWEVER...SOME 
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MICHELLE MAY LOSE 
ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES...465 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM EST POSITION...27.2 N... 71.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY 
AT 10 AM EST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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