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HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST SUN NOV 04 2001

...MICHELLE NEARING THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA...
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF AND ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...  BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...CAT
ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
OVER NORTH CENTRAL CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 80.4
WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...SOUTH OF MIAMI OR 240 MILES...385
KM...SOUTHWEST OF NASSAU.

MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20
KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO
EMERGE INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS SHORTLY...AND MOVE ACROSS THE
BAHAMAS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.  RAIN BANDS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.  RAIN BANDS 
ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA EARLY 
MONDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  965 MB...28.50 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 
HIGHER...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF MICHELLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 
1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH 
FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF
CUBA TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER.

A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...ALONG WITH BATTERING 
WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FLORIDA 
IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG 
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS LIKELY OVER THE BAHAMAS ISLANDS NEAR 
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 10 PM EST POSITION...22.9 N... 80.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM EST...MONDAY.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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