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HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST FRI NOV 02 2001
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES IN
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...HAVANA CITY...MATANZAS...
AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF GRAND CAYMAN.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE.
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST OR ABOUT 255
MILES...415 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  3 MPH
... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...BUT REPORTS FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE INDICATE THAT
MICHELLE IS STARTING TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN.  MICHELLE IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS  
967 MB...28.56 INCHES.
 
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA THIS 
AFTERNOON.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10-20 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED 
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF MICHELLE.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...18.2 N... 84.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 967 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM EST.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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