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HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST FRI NOV 02 2001

...MICHELLE POISED TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES IN
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...HAVANA CITY...MATANZAS...
AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE.
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 280
MILES...450 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

MICHELLE IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  3 MPH
... 6 KM/HR.  A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
AND MICHELLE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR 
TWO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM OUTER BANDS CONTINUES OVER THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS AND CUBA.  AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES...75 TO 150
MILLIMETERS...OF RAINFALL MAY OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT WHERE EXTENSIVE FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED.

REPEATING THE 10 AM EST POSITION...17.9 N... 83.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM EST.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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