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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST TUE OCT 30 2001

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED JUST INLAND OVER NORTHEAST 
NICARAGUA...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES...
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN 
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.7 WEST OR 
ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...WEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  
5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OVER WATER.  LITTLE CHANGE IN 
STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED IN EASTERN 
HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...250 TO 400 MILLIMETERS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...AND THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM EST POSITION...14.1 N... 83.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 4 AM EST...WEDNESDAY.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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