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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST TUE OCT 30 2001

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN RE-LOCATED TO NEAR THE
COAST OF NICARAGUA...RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES...
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.4 WEST OR OVER
THE COAST OF NICARAGUA ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO
CABEZAS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY NEARLY STATIONARY.  A SLOW NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT.  THIS MOTION
WOULD BRING THE CENTER JUST INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS WHILE THE CENTER IS OVER LAND.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED IN EASTERN 
HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...250 TO 400 MILLIMETERS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...AND THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 

REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...12.9 N... 83.4 W.  MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM 
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM EST.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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