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TROPICAL STORM JERRY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM AST SUN OCT 07 2001

...JERRY HEADING FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR 
ST VINCENT AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOBAGO...GRENADA AND 
ITS DEPENDENCIES.
 
AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES...
330 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.  THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 255
MILES...410 KM...EAST OF TOBAGO.

JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND A
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD 
REACH BARBADOS...TOBAGO...AND GRENADA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD 
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM TODAY.  
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...11.6 N... 56.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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