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TROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN OCT 07 2001

...JERRY APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST VINCENT AND THE
GRENADINE ISLANDS...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND DEPENDENCIES.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 58.3 WEST OR ABOUT
125 MILES...  200 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.  THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF TOBAGO.

JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.  AN 
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECON WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER THIS 
AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM PASSES 
OVER THE ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...11.7 N... 58.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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