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HURRICANE IRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT TUE OCT 09 2001

...IRIS INLAND AND WEAKENING RAPIDLY...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COASTS OF
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND HONDURAS FROM THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA
EASTWARD TO LIMON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN FROM FELIPE CARRILLO PUERTO SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
BELIZE.

ALL WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRIS WAS LOCATED OVER 
CENTRAL GUATEMALA NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.8 WEST.

IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH ...35 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 80 MPH...130 
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.  IRIS WILL 
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN 
OF GUATEMALA AND EASTERN MEXICO TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
145 MILES...230 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

THE STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE WILL 
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS MORNING.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA AND EASTERN MEXICO.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...16.3N...  89.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  990 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
  
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