ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001

... IRIS MOVING NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...AND FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CUBAN
PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS
AND CAMAGUEY.  WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR CUBA WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED SOON.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

IRIS IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 
KM/HR...AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL 
BE MOVING NEAR OR ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT 
FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...OVER A SMALL AREA JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER.  SOME 
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM 
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT JAMAICA TODAY.  

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE EXPECTED OVER JAMAICA.  THESE RAINS COULD 
CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...17.3 N... 76.9 W.  MOVEMENT...
BETWEEN WEST AND WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
NNNN